Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Trump Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Kris Dunn: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Kris Dunn: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| Keaton Wagler: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Keaton Wagler: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Keaton Wagler: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 99% |
| Darius Garland: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 99% |
| Race to 30 | 98% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 98% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 94% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 7.5 | 94% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 3.5 | 92% |
| Chet Holmgren: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 91% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 89% |
| O/U 193.5 | 86% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 19.5 | 84% |
| O/U 195.5 | 78% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5 | 77% |
| Spread -2.5 | 76% |
| O/U 197.5 | 75% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 24.5 | 75% |
| Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 5.5 | 74% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 72% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 9.5 | 68% |
| O/U 199.5 | 67% |
| Spread -4.5 | 66% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5 | 64% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5 | 63% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 62% |
| Spread -6.5 | 60% |
| O/U 201.5 | 60% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 1.5 | 59% |
| O/U 203.5 | 57% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 55% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 14.5 | 54% |
| Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Kris Dunn: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Cason Wallace: Steals O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Jalen Williams: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Kris Dunn: Steals O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Chet Holmgren: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Keaton Wagler: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Brook Lopez: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Brook Lopez: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Alex Caruso: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Alex Caruso: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cason Wallace: Points O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Chet Holmgren: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cason Wallace: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Cason Wallace: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Rui Hachimura: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cason Wallace: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cason Wallace: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cason Wallace: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cason Wallace: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Chet Holmgren: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cason Wallace: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cason Wallace: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Chet Holmgren: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Chet Holmgren: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Chet Holmgren: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Chet Holmgren: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 101.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 97.5 | 50% |
| Thunder O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Thunder O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| Thunder O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Thunder O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 103.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 105.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 91.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 93.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 95.5 | 50% |
| Thunder O/U 129.5 | 50% |
| Thunder O/U 131.5 | 50% |
| Clippers 2H O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| Clippers 2H O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Clippers 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Clippers 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Clippers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Thunder O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| Thunder O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Thunder O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Thunder O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Thunder O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Cason Wallace: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Keaton Wagler: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Keaton Wagler: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Keaton Wagler: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keaton Wagler: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Keaton Wagler: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Keaton Wagler: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Keaton Wagler: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Alex Caruso: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Alex Caruso: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Alex Caruso: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Keaton Wagler: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Alex Caruso: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Alex Caruso: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Alex Caruso: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Alex Caruso: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Alex Caruso: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Keaton Wagler: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Williams: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| O/U 205.5 | 46% |
| Spread -10.5 | 44% |
| O/U 207.5 | 42% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Spread -11.5 | 39% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 34.5 | 37% |
| O/U 209.5 | 36% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Spread -12.5 | 32% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| O/U 211.5 | 28% |
| Spread -13.5 | 27% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 26% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| Spread -14.5 | 23% |
| Spread -15.5 | 22% |
| O/U 213.5 | 22% |
| Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Clippers vs. Thunder | 20% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Spread -16.5 | 17% |
| Spread -17.5 | 16% |
| O/U 215.5 | 16% |
| Spread -1.5 | 15% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 24.5 | 15% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Rui Hachimura: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Spread -18.5 | 13% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Jalen Williams: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| O/U 217.5 | 11% |
| Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -19.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| O/U 219.5 | 9% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Cason Wallace: Points O/U 14.5 | 8% |
| Spread -5.5 | 7% |
| O/U 221.5 | 6% |
| Spread -22.5 | 6% |
| Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| O/U 223.5 | 5% |
| Spread -24.5 | 4% |
| O/U 225.5 | 4% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| Spread -26.5 | 3% |
| Spread -28.5 | 3% |
| O/U 227.5 | 3% |
| O/U 229.5 | 3% |
| O/U 231.5 | 3% |
| O/U 233.5 | 3% |
| Spread -11.5 | 2% |
| Spread -9.5 | 2% |
| Spread -30.5 | 2% |
| Spread -36.5 | 2% |
| Spread -38.5 | 2% |
| Spread -42.5 | 2% |
| O/U 235.5 | 2% |
| Cason Wallace: Points O/U 9.5 | 2% |
| Spread -32.5 | 1% |
| Spread -34.5 | 1% |
| Spread -40.5 | 1% |
| O/U 237.5 | 1% |
| O/U 239.5 | 1% |
| O/U 241.5 | 1% |
| Race to 10 | 0% |
| Race to 20 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 91.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 93.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 95.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 97.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 44.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 62.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Clippers vs. Thunder — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 100%. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 7:00PM ET: If the Clippers win, the market will resolve to "Clippers". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is po…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $3.6M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite tracked Prognose: Clippers vs. Thunder über vier politische Prognose-Plattformen. Live-Quoten kommen aus dem Polymarket-Orderbuch (das größte politische Prediction-Volume). Kalshi ist die CFTC-regulierte US-Alternative, Betfair die etablierte UK-Sportbörse mit Politik-Märkten, Manifold die offene Spielgeld-Variante. Für DE/AT/CH-Nutzer mit Geo-Block bietet Trump Wetten einen 0%-Broker-Zugang zu demselben Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Politische Märkte werden meist nach offizieller Kandidaten- oder Behörden-Bestätigung aufgelöst. Polymarket nutzt das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Proposer reicht das Outcome mit Bond ein, Two-Hour-Window öffnet, dann zahlt der Smart Contract USDC.
Kalshi settelt USD via CFTC-Clearinghouse, mit klar definierten Resolution Sources (z.B. AP Race Calls für Wahlen). Betfair settelt nach offiziellem Ergebnis-Eintrag der Liga/Behörde. Manifold ist Spielgeld.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie genau sind Polit-Vorhersagemärkte?
- Historisch genauer als Umfragen. Polymarkets Brier-Score auf US-Wahlen 2024 lag bei ~0,11 — besser als 538 (~0,14) und alle Mainstream-Umfragen. Märkte aggregieren Information mit echtem Skin-in-the-Game.
- Welche Resolution-Quelle wird für Wahlen genutzt?
- Polymarket definiert die Quelle pro Vertrag — meist Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters oder die offizielle Wahlbehörde. Die Quelle steht in den Vertrags-Details, bevor der Markt eröffnet.
- Können politische Märkte Wahlen beeinflussen?
- Märkte spiegeln Erwartungen, sie erzeugen sie nicht. Studien zeigen, dass öffentlich sichtbare Märkte Erwartungs-Anker setzen können — aber nicht das Wahlergebnis selbst beeinflussen. Polit-Märkte sind Information, nicht Wahlwerbung.
- Wie schnell reagieren Polit-Märkte auf News?
- Hochliquide Märkte bewegen sich binnen Sekunden bis Minuten. Ein Trump-Tweet über die Wirtschaft kann den 'Trump 2024'-Markt 2-5 Punkte verschieben, bevor Mainstream-Medien überhaupt geschrieben haben.
- Warum unterscheiden sich Polymarket und Kalshi bei Wahlen?
- Kalshi muss CFTC-Compliance einhalten — strenge Definitionen, klare Resolution Sources, US-Bürger only mit KYC. Polymarket operiert global, ohne CFTC-Aufsicht — was tiefere Liquidität, aber auch höheres regulatorisches Risiko bedeutet.
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